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Ukraine

On Security Guarantees

2025-08-24
On 23 February 2025, the Ukrainian flag is raised alongside the European flag in front of the Berlaymont building, headquarter of the European Commission, to commemorate the third year of the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

Lavrov: “Moscow won’t agree with collective security guarantees [to Ukraine] negotiated

without Russia”.

What Lavrov wanted to say? That Russia wants to give security guarantees to Ukraine? Or that Kremlin is afraid of security guarantees to Ukraine, which can be provided by Western community?

The only reason why Ukraine needs security guarantees is aggressive Russia.

If Russia wants to give security guarantees to Ukraine, it simply needs to stop the war and to promise not to wage a new one.

There is no need for Russia to negotiate with anybody about Russia’s security guarantees to Ukraine. Russia can simply abandon its aggressive policies.

But with Putin/Lavrov it is not realistic.

That is why we need to ask: why Kremlin is afraid of Western security guarantees to Ukraine?

Because it will make more difficult for Putin/Lavrov to plan a new aggression against Ukraine.

The Russia’s reality is that Putin considers that his regime can become insecure, if Ukraine is becoming secure and able to develop its economic and social success through European integration. Because success of Ukraine with its inspirational power to ordinary Russians is the biggest threat to survival of Putin regime. That is the logic of Kremlin analysis of biggest threats.

That is why Putin started the war against success of Ukraine. That is why Putin/Lavrov will never agree with real security guarantees for success of Ukraine.

But the question is – who needs their agreement on security guarantees to Ukraine, which will be provided by the “coalition of willing”?

Nobody!

The Western leaders recently, in Washington, were able to show unprecedented unity and

leadership on the issues of Ukraine. Including on security guarantees.

That scares Kremlin regime. That is why Lavrov spoke in such an aggressive way. Because Kremlin starts to understand – they lost. Security guarantees will pave the way for the future success of Ukraine.

The biggest threats to the future of Russia comes from Putin regime itself.

Not from NATO.

Ukraine or success of Ukraine also are not the threats to Russia.

Success of Ukraine can be a real inspiration to Russian people. Inspiration of Russian citizens is what Kremlin is afraid of. Kremlin is really afraid of Russian people, of possibility that they can be inspired to seek freedom. And inspired to wish to live in a normal Russia of the future.

Putin waged criminal and stupid war against success of Ukraine. And he is losing. Ukraine will be successful.

Russia will stay with Kremlin stupidity. Lavrov gave clear evidence of that.

PrevSpeaking points: Roundtable discussion with European New Defence companies on defence innovations, 19 May 2025

Speaking points: Roundtable discussion with European New Defence companies on defence innovations, 19 May 2025

2025-05-19

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